The hydrogen market in Norway is at an early stage with significant prospects for growth over the coming years. The Ministry of Petroleum and Energy (“MPE”) published a Roadmap for Hydrogen in its White Paper to the Norwegian Parliament in June 2021.
The long-term vision of the MPE is to have a well-established market for the production and use of hydrogen in Norway by 2050, with hydrogen being, where this is a good solution, used as an input factor in industrial activities, as fuel in ships and vessels both in coastal waters and for long-distance transport and as fuel for heavy vehicles by road. Furthermore, the MPEs vision is that the Norwegian energy and supplier industry and related industries are international leaders in the export of hydrogen and certain hydrogen technologies and solutions, creating economic growth to the benefit of the Norwegian society.
In the short term, by 2025 the vision of the MPE is to support the development of technology through pilot and demonstration projects for the production and use of pure hydrogen in maritime transport, in heavy transport by road, and in the industry. The projects shall contribute to early market introduction and market development, as well as facilitating the development of geographical hydrogen hubs. The government will facilitate for collaboration with private actors to establish:
- five hydrogen hubs for maritime transport, with opportunities for the development of associated land transport solutions based on hydrogen;
- one or two industrial projects with associated production facilities for hydrogen, in order to demonstrate value chains with potential for global dispersal; and
- five to ten pilot projects established for the development demonstration of new and cost-effective hydrogen solutions and technologies.
The MPE also intends to strengthen R&D and the demonstration of new hydrogen solutions and technologies by establishing a research centre for hydrogen and ammonia.
In the medium term, by 2030 the MPE’s vision is that hydrogen as an energy carrier has been established as a real alternative in the maritime sector and is maturing as a good alternative in the Norwegian industry. The first projects in the maritime sector without need for government funding are being planned. The MPE’s vision is to contribute to a development that enables:
- a network of geographically dispersed, demand-based hydrogen hubs in line with the supply vessels and vehicles;
- hydrogen vessels that are a competitive and safe alternative for shipping in Norwegian waters and short sea shipping areas;
- realisation of full-scare industrial hydrogen projects with significant dispersal potential for Europe and the rest of the world;
- the use of hydrogen as a competitive alternative to fossil energy; and
- Norwegian hydrogen activities to be linked to the development of a market for hydrogen in Europe in the form of export of goods and services.
The Roadmap also states that the government intends to carry out an assessment of new instruments, such as “Contracts for difference” (“CfD”), aimed at realising large industrial projects such as large-scale production and use of hydrogen. In this context, CfD means a subsidy model in which both positive and negative deviations from a pre-set reference price are compensated for.
It is assumed that, by 2030, the technology for the use of hydrogen at sea and in heavy transport by road will mature. Eventually, hydrogen and/or ammonia could also become a low-carbon fuel for larger ships/vessels. The need for hydrogen hubs and infrastructure will depend on the demand for hydrogen. In a start-up phase, the demand for hydrogen for maritime purposes is expected to be limited. Modular production plants for green hydrogen will therefore be well suited for this phase.
The demand for hydrogen for industrial purposes will depend on the establishment of larger hydrogen production plants. It can therefore provide a basis for establishing hydrogen production based on natural gas with CO2 management. However, such production facilities are dependent on the availability of CO2 storage. It is therefore unlikely that blue hydrogen can be produced earlier than 2025 in Norway.
In September 2021, there was a Parliamentary election in Norway, resulting in the Labour Party taking over from the Conservative Party. It is relatively safe to assume that the work with the Energy Report and the guidelines for hydrogen will proceed also after a new government has been formed; the Labour Party has expressed that the Energy Report is a good foundation for the work to be done in shaping the Norwegian energy sector for years to come.
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